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Tag:UCLA
Posted on: September 28, 2011 3:52 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

When I pick a game that is so off, it makes me realize that I'm no expert. I picked Tulane +10 at Duke. The Green Wave were never in it, losing 48-27. Please keep this in mind, if you're playing my suggestions.

Please, don't bet the house and don't try to get it all back in one swoop. That's the biggest mistake by any gambler and why the house easily makes money.

I did go 2-1 in my top plays, however, nailing the over in Florida-Kentucky and winning on K-State, which beat Miami as a 12-point underdog. That makes me 7-5 on the season.

Against the experts, I was 11-6. Jerry Hinnen leads the group with an astounding 50-27 mark. I'm second among the experts at 46-31.

I need to admit I didn't study as much this week with the Jewish holiday starting Wednesday night.

On to Week 5

SATURDAY
No. 16 South Florida -2.5 at Pittsburgh
Minnesota +20.5 at No. 19 Michigan
At No. 24 Illinois -6.5 vs. Northwestern
No. 14 Texas A&M -3.5 vs. No. 18 Arkansas (At Arlington)
Kentucky +29.5 at No. 1 LSU

At No. 4 Boise State -27.5 vs. Nevada
At N.C. State +11.5 vs. No. 21 Georgia Tech
Auburn +10.5 at No. 10 South Carolina
Bowling Green +20.5 at No. 22 West Virginia
No. 15 Baylor -3.5 at Kansas State

At No. 20 TCU -11.5 vs. Southern Methodist
No. 13 Clemson +7.5 at No. 11 Virginia Tech
No. 17 Texas -10.5 at Iowa State
Ball State +37.5 at No. 2 Oklahoma -37.5
No. 3 Alabama -5.5 at No. 12 Florida

No. 8 Nebraska +9.5 at No. 7 Wisconsin
At No. 25 Arizona State -17.5 vs. Oregon State
At No. 6 Stanford -20.5 vs. UCLA

---------------------------------
TOP HANDICAP PLAYS (All games Saturday)
Cincinnati -14.5 at Miami (Ohio)
OVER 56.5 No. 8 Nebraska at No. 7 Wisconsin
Idaho +16 at Virginia

-----------------------------------
------

WEEK 4 HANDICAPPING (2-1; 7-5 overall)
Wins
Kansas State +12.5 in a 28-24 win at Miami
OVER 43 in Florida 48, Kentucky 10

Loss
Tulane +10 in a 48-27 loss at Duke 

A Happy & Healthy New Year to all those who celebrate!

Posted on: September 14, 2011 8:27 pm
 

Week 3 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

For those of you crying about what the CBS experts are picking against the spread, well now I see you can check out how they do against the spread and how they do straight up. But I'm sure some will still complain.

As for me, I'm sticking to picking against the spread.

Last week I went 11-7, but it only goes down at 10-7 since the CBS page now doesn't include the unranked Michigan-Notre Dame game. But no worries as that was my bonus play and I'll definitely count it there.

The 11-7 makes me 22-18 after the first two weeks.

Jerry Hinnen is in front of the expert's group at 25-15, followed by Dennis Dodd's 24-16, Adam Jacobi's 22-18, Bruce Feldman & Chip Patterson both at 21-19, Brett McMurphy's 20-20 and Tom Fornelli's 18-22.

As for my Top Handicapping Plays: I went 3-1 with wins on Missouri, Stanford and Michigan. I was wrong g on the Oregon State-Wisconsin over. That makes me 5-1 on these suggestions so far.

Looking at this weekend, there are some big games with the big showdown in Tallahassee. Meanwhile, I'll be in the crowd at Ohio State at Miami.  Go Bucks!

On to Week 3

THURSDAY
No. 3 LSU -3.5 at No. 25 Mississippi State

FRIDAY
Toledo +18.5 vs. No. 4 Boise State

SATURDAY -- Sorry these aren't in order of rankings. They're in the same order as the CBS Experts page.
No. 21 Auburn +3.5 at Clemson
No. 18 West Virginia + 1.5 at Maryland
Louisiana-Monroe +28.5 vs. No. 23 TCU
No. 16 Florida -9.5 vs. Tennessee
Washington +16.5 at No. 11 Nebraska

Northern Illinois +17.5 vs. No. 7 Wisconsin (at Chicago)
No. 23 Texas -3.5 at UCLA
Notre Dame -4.5 vs. No. 15 Michigan State
Arkansas State +26.5 at No. 13 Virginia Tech -26.5
Navy +18.5 at No. 10 South Carolina

Illinois +1.5 vs. No. 22 Arizona State
Idaho +36.5 at No. 9 Texas A&M
No. 17 Ohio State +1.5 at Miami
No. 2 Alabama -45.5 vs. North Texas (I could never lay money on this many points)
No. 14 Arkansas -25.5 vs. Troy

No. 5 Florida State +3.5 vs. No. 1 Oklahoma
No. 8 Oklahoma State -13.5 at Tulsa
No. 6 Stanford -10.5 at Arizona

------------------------------

TOP HANDICAP PLAYS
Note: Some lines are different from above because the experts pull their lines early in the week.

FRIDAY: Toledo +20 vs. No. 4 Boise State
SATURDAY: Nevada -6.5 at San Jose State
SATURDAY: OVER 51.5 Michigan State at Notre Dame

I know I said I'd be banging Wisconsin OVERS all season, but I'm going to pass on the 64 vs. Northern Illinois.

-------------------------------

WEEK 2 HANDICAPPING (3-1 last week, 5-1 overall)
Wins
Missouri +7.5 in 37-30 overtime loss at Arizona State
Stanford -21 in 44-14 victory at Duke
Michigan +3.5 in 35-31 win over visiting Notre Dame

Loss
Over of 56.5 in Wisconsin's 35-0 shutout of visiting Oregon State

Posted on: October 26, 2010 2:45 pm
 

Week 9 picks by JR -- the Real Expert

Boy, did last Saturday's Northwestern-Michigan State game irk me. I really thought the 'Cats would win and upset the No. 8 Spartans. NU fumbled at the 1 in the first quarter and blew a 17-0 lead. MSU took its first lead on a TD with 2:00 left.

But how about another top team (Oklahoma) going down. None of the so-called experts picked Mizzou … nor did they/we pick the Badgers to win in Iowa City.

For Week 8, I went 17-5, losing on OU, NU, Iowa, West Virginia (to Syracuse) and Texas (to Iowa State -- how did this possibly happen?).

I'm 145-39 on the season, remaining one game back of Chip Patterson, who also went 17-5. I passed J. Darin Darst, who went 15-7, and Dennis Dodd, who crashed & burned at 12-10.

Overall standings: Chip 146-38; me 145-39, Darst 144-40, Dodd & Adam Jacobi 141-43 & Jay Horowitz 133-51 … And they kicked me out?!?!?!

On to Week 9
TUESDAY
No. 2 Boise State over Louisiana Tech

THURSDAY
No. 16 Florida State 33, North Carolina State 27

SATURDAY
No. 24 USC 48, No. 1 Oregon 44
No. 3 Auburn over Mississippi
No. 4 TCU over UNLV
No. 18 Iowa 30, No. 5 Michigan State 20
No. 14 Nebraska 44, No. 7 Missouri 30 (Play the over of 55)

No. 8 Utah over Air Force
No. 10 Ohio State over Minnesota
No. 11 Oklahoma over Colorado
No. 13 Stanford over Washington
No. 15 Arizona over UCLA

No. 17 South Carolina over Tennessee
No. 19 Arkansas over Vanderbilt
No. 20 Oklahoma State over Kansas State
No. 22 Miami over Virginia
No. 23 Mississippi State over Kentucky
Texas over No. 25 Baylor

Georgia over Florida (Who would have thought neither would be ranked at this point?)
Central Florida over East Carolina
Texas A&M over Texas

WEEK 8 HANDICAPPING (4-0)
I suggested lay the points in Ohio State 49, Purdue 0 (closed at 24)
 & overs in
Michigan State 35, Northwestern 27 (closed at 51.5)
Stanford 38, Washington State 28 (closed at 64.5)
Nebraska 51, Oklahoma State 41 (closed at 58.5)

I only like one play for the upcoming week (the over in Nebraska-MIzzou). If anything else hits me before Saturday, I'll post below.

Interesting facts: The Longhorns were laying 21, making the Cyclones a nice +975. The Mountaineers were favored by 14 against the Orange.

Posted on: October 21, 2010 3:02 am
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Posted on: October 21, 2010 2:53 am
 

Week 8 picks by JR -- the Real Expert

Wow, did I get my butt kicked in Week 7. I apologize for posting such garbage on here this past week. I went 14-10 – and this was picking games straight up! Uggggh. I guess we’re all allowed to have a bad week, but this was just brutal.

The 14-10 showing makes me 128-34 on the season. The so-called experts are led by Darst, Dodd & Chip at 127-33.

I need to get back on track, so on to Week 8.

THURSDAY
No. 1 Oregon 41, UCLA 23

SATURDAY
No. 3 Oklahoma 33, No. 18 Missouri 28
No. 4 TCU over Air Force
No. 5 Auburn 32, No. 6 LSU 27
No. 7 Alabama over Tennessee
Northwestern over No. 8 Michigan State (Play the over of 53)

No. 9 Utah over Colorado State
No. 13 Iowa 27, No. 10 Wisconsin 20
No. 11 Ohio State over Purdue (Lay the 23.5)
No. 12 Stanford over Washington State (Play the over of 63.5)
No. 14 Nebraska 45, No. 17 Oklahoma State 40 (Play the over of 60)

No. 15 Arizona over Washington
No. 19 South Carolina over Vanderbilt
No. 20 West Virginia over Syracuse
No. 21 Arkansas over Mississippi
No. 22 Texas over Iowa State

No. 23 Virginia Tech over Duke
No. 24 Mississippi State over UAB
No. 25 Miami over North Carolina

Clemson over Georgia Tech
Texas Tech over Colorado
Georgia over Kentucky

WEEK 7 RECAP (14-10)
Losses  on Ohio State (to Wisconsin; yea, I predicted OSU 33-16. Ouch!), Nebraska (to Texas), South Carolina (to Kentucky), Nevada (to Hawaii), Texas Tech (to Oklahoma State), Texas A&M (to Mizzou),  Florida (to Mississippi State), Air Force (to San Diego State), N.C. State (to East Carolina) & Syracuse (to Pitt)

Handicapping: I was 1-2 on my strong plays; I was correct on the over (closed at 54.5) in Iowa 38, Michigan 28, but missed on the over (closed at 48.5) on TCU 31, BYU 3 & was wrong on taking Florida -9.5 in a 10-7 loss to Mississippi State.

In my small plays, I went 1-1, liking the under (closed at 75.5) in Hawaii 27, Nevada 21 & suggesting the over (closed at 50) in Purdue (28-17).

So I even sucked here after nailing six in a row over the previous two weeks.

Posted on: October 7, 2010 12:04 pm
 

Week 6 pix by JR the Real Expert

Dropped three games last week, going 15-3. That makes me 97-19 on the season, remaining tied with J. Darin Darst; Chip Patterson goes 16-2 last week to join us. Meanwhile, CBSSports.com Senior Writer Dennis Dodd still leads among the so-called experts, but he lost five games last week to fall to 98-18.

It's only a matter of time till I go sprinting past these guys – starting with my upset special in Columbia, S.C.

My Week 6 picks

THURSDAY
No. 7 Nebraska 35, Kansas State 23

FRIDAY
No. 22 Oklahoma State over La.-Lafayette

SATURDAY
No. 19 South Carolina 20, No. 1 Alabama 17
No. 2 Ohio State over Indiana
No. 3 Oregon over Washington State
No. 4 Boise State over Toledo
No. 5 TCU over Wyoming

No. 8 Auburn over Kentucky
No. 9 Arizona over Oregon State
No. 10 Utah over Iowa State
Texas A&M over No. 11 Arkansas
No. 14 Florida 17, No. 12 LSU 16 (Yep, I'm predicting a Tigers safety)

No. 13 Miami 30, No. 23 Florida State 24
No. 16 Stanford over USC
No. 18 Michigan 35, No. 17 Michigan State 33
No. 20 Wisconsin over Minnesota (22 points? Too many for this rivaly. Take it)
No. 21 Nevada over San Jose State

No. 24 Missouri over Colorado
No. 25 Air Force over Colorado State

Georgia over Tennessee
North Carolina over Clemson
Cal over UCLA

WEEK 5 RECAP (15-3)
Lost on USC to Washington (Trojan fans can't be too happy), N.C. State to Va. Tech (I did say take the 4 points) & Boston College to Notre Dame (I said take the 3 points).

As for the handicapping, I was on fire last week, going 5-0!!! (Why wasn’t I in Vegas???): I suggested taking the points with the Hokies & Irish mentioned above and I hit the overs in Oklahoma-Texas, MSU-Wisconsin & Michigan-IU. Unfortunately, there weren’t many things that caught my eye for Week 6, only liking the 22 points in Minnesota-Wisconsin.

Posted on: September 23, 2010 1:49 am
 

Week 4 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I'm sorry, but I feel like I let you all down last week, going 21-5. Five? That's just terrible, especially when picking just winners & losers and not bothering with the spread.

That leaves me 61-13, three behind leader Dennis Dodd (64-10) and one behind J. Darin Darst (62-12). You can check the picks of the so-called experts here.

WEEK 4 PICKS
THURSDAY
Pittsburgh 27, No. 19 Miami 20

FRIDAY
No. 4 TCU over SMU

SATURDAY
No. 1 Alabama 36, No. 10 Arkansas 24
No. 2 Ohio State over Eastern Michigan
No. 3 Boise State 41, No. 24 Oregon State 21
No. 5 Oregon over Arizona State
No. 6 Nebraska over South Dakota State

No. 7 Texas over UCLA
No. 8 Oklahoma over Cincinnati
No. 9 Florida over Kentucky
No. 11 Wisconsin over Austin (Let's Go) Peay
No. 17 Auburn 27, No. 12 South Carolina 24

No. 13 Utah over San Jose State
No. 14 Arizona over Cal
No. 15 LSU 23, No. 22 West Virginia 17
No. 16 Stanford over Notre Dame
No. 18 Iowa over Ball State (Sorry, Dave)

No. 20 USC over Washington State
No. 21 Michigan over Bowling Green
No. 23 Penn State over Temple (Who? -- as in Owls. Get it?)
No. 25 Michigan State over No. Colorado

Virginia Tech over Boston College
Georgia Tech over N.C. State
Nevada over BYU

WEEK 3 RECAP (21-5)
I lost on Iowa (to Arizona), Georgia (to Arkansas), Houston (to UCLA?), Nevada (to Cal) & UNC (to Ga. Tech).

And I was wrong by a hook on the over in USC-Minnesota and completely wrong on the over in Houston-UCLA. Again, my apologies.

Posted on: September 16, 2010 1:12 am
Edited on: September 16, 2010 1:16 am
 

Week 3 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 18-5 in Week 2, losing on Tennessee (what was I thinking?), Va. Tech (again), Ga. Tech, UCLA & Army.
That  makes me 40-8, tied for the lead with so-called experts.
Now, on to Week 3

SATURDAY
No. 1 Alabama over Duke
No. 2 Ohio State over Ohio
No. 3 Boise State over Wyoming
No. 4 TCU over Baylor
No. 5 Oregon over Portland State (strength of schedule will hurt Oregon if it goes undefeated)

No. 6 Texas 30, Texas Tech 23
No. 7 Oklahoma over Air Force
No. 8 Nebraska 33,  Washington 30
No. 9 Iowa 31, over No. 24 Arizona 24
No. 10 Florida over Tennessee (I’m not getting sucked in by the Vols again)

No. 11 Wisconsin over Arizona State
Georgia over 27, No. 12 Arkansas 25
No. 13 South Carolina over Furman
No. 14 Utah over New Mexico
No. 15 LSU over Mississippi State

No. 16 Auburn 38, Clemson 24
No. 18 USC over Minnesota (Play the over of 53.5)
No. 19 Stanford over Wake Forest
No. 20 Michigan over UMass
No. 21 West Virginia over Maryland

No. 22 Penn State over Kent State
No. 23 Houston over UCLA (Play the over of 60)
No. 25 Oregon State over Louisville

OTHERS
Cal over Nevada (Friday)
North Carolina over Ga. Tech
Florida State over BYU

WEEK 2 RECAP (18-5)
I was way wrong on my Handicapping suggestion of “take the 10 points” in Vandy vs. LSU (27-3). I suck!

 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com