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Tag:Texas
Posted on: September 28, 2011 3:52 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

When I pick a game that is so off, it makes me realize that I'm no expert. I picked Tulane +10 at Duke. The Green Wave were never in it, losing 48-27. Please keep this in mind, if you're playing my suggestions.

Please, don't bet the house and don't try to get it all back in one swoop. That's the biggest mistake by any gambler and why the house easily makes money.

I did go 2-1 in my top plays, however, nailing the over in Florida-Kentucky and winning on K-State, which beat Miami as a 12-point underdog. That makes me 7-5 on the season.

Against the experts, I was 11-6. Jerry Hinnen leads the group with an astounding 50-27 mark. I'm second among the experts at 46-31.

I need to admit I didn't study as much this week with the Jewish holiday starting Wednesday night.

On to Week 5

SATURDAY
No. 16 South Florida -2.5 at Pittsburgh
Minnesota +20.5 at No. 19 Michigan
At No. 24 Illinois -6.5 vs. Northwestern
No. 14 Texas A&M -3.5 vs. No. 18 Arkansas (At Arlington)
Kentucky +29.5 at No. 1 LSU

At No. 4 Boise State -27.5 vs. Nevada
At N.C. State +11.5 vs. No. 21 Georgia Tech
Auburn +10.5 at No. 10 South Carolina
Bowling Green +20.5 at No. 22 West Virginia
No. 15 Baylor -3.5 at Kansas State

At No. 20 TCU -11.5 vs. Southern Methodist
No. 13 Clemson +7.5 at No. 11 Virginia Tech
No. 17 Texas -10.5 at Iowa State
Ball State +37.5 at No. 2 Oklahoma -37.5
No. 3 Alabama -5.5 at No. 12 Florida

No. 8 Nebraska +9.5 at No. 7 Wisconsin
At No. 25 Arizona State -17.5 vs. Oregon State
At No. 6 Stanford -20.5 vs. UCLA

---------------------------------
TOP HANDICAP PLAYS (All games Saturday)
Cincinnati -14.5 at Miami (Ohio)
OVER 56.5 No. 8 Nebraska at No. 7 Wisconsin
Idaho +16 at Virginia

-----------------------------------
------

WEEK 4 HANDICAPPING (2-1; 7-5 overall)
Wins
Kansas State +12.5 in a 28-24 win at Miami
OVER 43 in Florida 48, Kentucky 10

Loss
Tulane +10 in a 48-27 loss at Duke 

A Happy & Healthy New Year to all those who celebrate!

Posted on: September 14, 2011 8:27 pm
 

Week 3 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

For those of you crying about what the CBS experts are picking against the spread, well now I see you can check out how they do against the spread and how they do straight up. But I'm sure some will still complain.

As for me, I'm sticking to picking against the spread.

Last week I went 11-7, but it only goes down at 10-7 since the CBS page now doesn't include the unranked Michigan-Notre Dame game. But no worries as that was my bonus play and I'll definitely count it there.

The 11-7 makes me 22-18 after the first two weeks.

Jerry Hinnen is in front of the expert's group at 25-15, followed by Dennis Dodd's 24-16, Adam Jacobi's 22-18, Bruce Feldman & Chip Patterson both at 21-19, Brett McMurphy's 20-20 and Tom Fornelli's 18-22.

As for my Top Handicapping Plays: I went 3-1 with wins on Missouri, Stanford and Michigan. I was wrong g on the Oregon State-Wisconsin over. That makes me 5-1 on these suggestions so far.

Looking at this weekend, there are some big games with the big showdown in Tallahassee. Meanwhile, I'll be in the crowd at Ohio State at Miami.  Go Bucks!

On to Week 3

THURSDAY
No. 3 LSU -3.5 at No. 25 Mississippi State

FRIDAY
Toledo +18.5 vs. No. 4 Boise State

SATURDAY -- Sorry these aren't in order of rankings. They're in the same order as the CBS Experts page.
No. 21 Auburn +3.5 at Clemson
No. 18 West Virginia + 1.5 at Maryland
Louisiana-Monroe +28.5 vs. No. 23 TCU
No. 16 Florida -9.5 vs. Tennessee
Washington +16.5 at No. 11 Nebraska

Northern Illinois +17.5 vs. No. 7 Wisconsin (at Chicago)
No. 23 Texas -3.5 at UCLA
Notre Dame -4.5 vs. No. 15 Michigan State
Arkansas State +26.5 at No. 13 Virginia Tech -26.5
Navy +18.5 at No. 10 South Carolina

Illinois +1.5 vs. No. 22 Arizona State
Idaho +36.5 at No. 9 Texas A&M
No. 17 Ohio State +1.5 at Miami
No. 2 Alabama -45.5 vs. North Texas (I could never lay money on this many points)
No. 14 Arkansas -25.5 vs. Troy

No. 5 Florida State +3.5 vs. No. 1 Oklahoma
No. 8 Oklahoma State -13.5 at Tulsa
No. 6 Stanford -10.5 at Arizona

------------------------------

TOP HANDICAP PLAYS
Note: Some lines are different from above because the experts pull their lines early in the week.

FRIDAY: Toledo +20 vs. No. 4 Boise State
SATURDAY: Nevada -6.5 at San Jose State
SATURDAY: OVER 51.5 Michigan State at Notre Dame

I know I said I'd be banging Wisconsin OVERS all season, but I'm going to pass on the 64 vs. Northern Illinois.

-------------------------------

WEEK 2 HANDICAPPING (3-1 last week, 5-1 overall)
Wins
Missouri +7.5 in 37-30 overtime loss at Arizona State
Stanford -21 in 44-14 victory at Duke
Michigan +3.5 in 35-31 win over visiting Notre Dame

Loss
Over of 56.5 in Wisconsin's 35-0 shutout of visiting Oregon State

Posted on: November 24, 2010 4:27 pm
Edited on: November 24, 2010 4:30 pm
 

Week 13 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 17-3 in Week 12. My losses were Iowa (over Ohio State), Miami (over Va. Tech) and San Diego State (over Utah).

The Hawkeyes should have stuck to the power run game, but I'll take a Buckeyes victory any day … even if I picked against them.

My overall record is now 206-64, but with Chip Patterson going 18-2, I lost another game in the standings to him and trail the leader by five games.

Overall standings for the Experts: Chip 211-59, Darst 207-63, me 206-64, Jacobi 201-69, Dodd 200-70 & Horowitz 195-75. I don't know if I can catch Chip to successfully defend my title, but getting past Darst shouldn’t be a problem.


Note: My original Week 12 post had me picking Northwestern (over Illinois) and Utah (over SDSU), but I audibled and posted my changes before those games started.

On to Week 13

THURSDAY
No. 17 Texas A&M 35, Texas 29 (Play the over of 47½)

FRIDAY
No. 1 Oregon 45, No. 20 Arizona 23
No. 9 Alabama 33, No. 2 Auburn 27 (Lay the 4½)
No. 3 Boise State 49, No. 19 Nevada 35
No. 16 Nebraska over Colorado
Pittsburgh over West Virginia

SATURDAY
No. 4 TCU over New Mexico (Play the over of 43½)
No. 5 Wisconsin over Northwestern (Play the over of 57½)
No. 12 Arkansas 33, over No. 6 LSU 32 (Play the over of 54½)
No. 7 Stanford over Oregon State
No. 8 Ohio State 45, Michigan 21 (Does RichRod get fired afterward?)

No. 14 Oklahoma 38, No. 10 Oklahoma State 33
Penn State 30, No. 11 Michigan State 20 (Take the 1½)
No. 13 Virginia Tech over Virginia
No. 15 Missouri over Kansas
No. 18 South Carolina over Clemson

Maryland over No. 21 North Carolina State
No. 22 Florida State over Florida
BYU over No. 23 Utah
No. 24 Iowa over Minnesota
Mississippi 28, No. 25 Mississippi State 27

Georgia over Georgia Tech
Notre Dame 28, USC 24

Additional handicapping suggestion
Play over of 53½ in Indiana at Purdue

WEEK 12 HANDICAPPING (2-1-1)

Wins: Over of 48 (closed at 51) in Michigan State 35, Purdue 31; Taking Mississippi +15 (close at 14½) in LSU 43, Ole Miss 36
Loss: Over of 60½ in Nevada 52, New Mexico State 6
Push: Taking Iowa +3 in OSU 20, Iowa 17

Unfortunately, I called off playing Utah -2½, so the 2-1-1 showing makes me 16-19-1 on the year.

Happy Thanksgiving, all.

Posted on: November 10, 2010 9:52 pm
 

Week 11 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 14-7 in Week 10. I know. Not good. Not good at all.

I lost (bad) on Utah over TCU. The Horned Frogs have proved to me they’re one of the best teams in the country. I lost on Alabama (to LSU), Oklahoma (to Texas A&M), Missouri (to Texas Tech), South Carolina (to Arkansas), Florida State (to North Carolina) and Texas (to Kansas State).

Against the Experts,
I remain three back of Chip Patterson (177-48 overall), while Darst was the big mover of the week, going 16-5 and tying me with an overall mark of 174-51 The rest: Jacobi 170-55, Dodd 166-59 & Horowitz 160-65.

On to Week 10

FRIDAY
No. 4 Boise State over Idaho (Play the over of 63)

SATURDAY
No. 1 Oregon over California
Georgia 31, No. 2 Auburn 30 (Newton news will be a big enough distraction)
No. 3 TCU over San Diego State (Lay the 26.5)
No. 5 LSU over Louisiana-Monroe (Take the 32.5)
No. 6 Wisconsin over Indiana

Arizona State 38, No. 7 Stanford 31
No. 8 Ohio State over Penn State
No. 9 Nebraska over Kansas (Play the over of 61)
No. 11 Alabama 31, No. 17 Mississippi State 10
No. 12 Oklahoma State over Texas

No. 13 Iowa 33, Northwestern 27
No. 14 Arkansas over UTEP
No. 15 Utah 32, Notre Dame 23
No. 16 Virginia Tech 23, North Carolina 20
No. 18 Arizona over Southern Cal

No. 19 Oklahoma over Texas Tech
No. 20 Missouri over Kansas State
No. 21 Nevada over Fresno State (Play the over of 68.5)
No. 25 Florida 31, No. 22 South Carolina 21
Baylor 40, No. 23 Texas A&M 37 (Take the 3)
No. 25 UCF over Southern Miss

Rutgers over Syracuse (Take 3)
Georgia Tech over Miami (Take 3)
Tulsa over Houston (Enjoy watching the over of 76, but not a suggested play)

WEEK 10 HANDICAPPING ROUNDUP (1-4)
My deepest apologies … and glad I wasn’t in Vegas.

I thought for sure Oklahoma (closed at -5) would trounce Texas A&M. Guess not as Sooners lost 33-19. I liked Nebraska (closed at -6) over Texas Tech, which won 24-17.

Lost on unders of TCU 47, Utah 7 (closed at 51½) & Oklahoma State 55, Baylor 28 (closed at 72½ -- OK State led 24-0 at the half; Doh!).

My one correct pick was North Carolina +10½ at FSU. The Heels won 37-35.

Let's see how my eight suggested plays fare this week.

Posted on: November 3, 2010 10:58 pm
Edited on: November 3, 2010 11:02 pm
 

Week 10 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 16-5 in Week 9, but it will go down as 15-5 since the experts didn't pick last Tuesday's obvious Boise State win over La. Tech.

That makes me 160-44 on the season. I'm now three games back of Chip Patterson, who went 17-3.

Overall standings:  Chip 163-41, me 160-44, Darst 158-46, Jacobi 157-47, Dodd 153-51 & Horowitz 147-57.

I lost on USC (to Oregon), FSU (to N.C. State), Miami (to Virginia), Texas (to Baylor) and Georgia (to Florida).

Now to Week 10's picks

THURSDAY
No. 20 Virginia Tech over Georgia Tech

SATURDAY
No. 1 Oregon over Washington
No. 2 Boise State over Hawaii
No. 3 Auburn over Chattanooga (Total joke of scheduling)
No. 6 Utah 20, No. 4 TCU 17 (Play the under of 52)
No. 5 Alabama 24, No. 12 LSU 16

No. 7 Wisconsin over Purdue
No. 9 Nebraska over Iowa State
No. 10 Stanford 35, No. 13 Arizona 27
No. 11 Oklahoma over Texas A&M (Lay the 3 points – the line should be 10-plus)
No. 14 Missouri over Texas Tech (Lay the 4 points)

No. 15 Iowa over Indiana
No. 16 Michigan State over Minnesota
South Carolina 31, No. 17 Arkansas 27
No. 19 Oklahoma State 38, No. 22 Baylor 33 (Play the under of 73)
Clemson over No. 23 N.C. State

No. 24 Florida State over North Carolina (Take the 10½ points)
No. 25 Nevada over Idaho

Michigan over Illinois
Air Force over Army
Texas over Kansas State

WEEK 9 HANDICAPPING (0-1)
I suggested the over in Nebraska 31, Missouri 17 (closed at 55½).
Sorry. Can't win 'em all ... but notice, I have five suggestions with the big play on the Sooners.

Posted on: October 26, 2010 2:45 pm
 

Week 9 picks by JR -- the Real Expert

Boy, did last Saturday's Northwestern-Michigan State game irk me. I really thought the 'Cats would win and upset the No. 8 Spartans. NU fumbled at the 1 in the first quarter and blew a 17-0 lead. MSU took its first lead on a TD with 2:00 left.

But how about another top team (Oklahoma) going down. None of the so-called experts picked Mizzou … nor did they/we pick the Badgers to win in Iowa City.

For Week 8, I went 17-5, losing on OU, NU, Iowa, West Virginia (to Syracuse) and Texas (to Iowa State -- how did this possibly happen?).

I'm 145-39 on the season, remaining one game back of Chip Patterson, who also went 17-5. I passed J. Darin Darst, who went 15-7, and Dennis Dodd, who crashed & burned at 12-10.

Overall standings: Chip 146-38; me 145-39, Darst 144-40, Dodd & Adam Jacobi 141-43 & Jay Horowitz 133-51 … And they kicked me out?!?!?!

On to Week 9
TUESDAY
No. 2 Boise State over Louisiana Tech

THURSDAY
No. 16 Florida State 33, North Carolina State 27

SATURDAY
No. 24 USC 48, No. 1 Oregon 44
No. 3 Auburn over Mississippi
No. 4 TCU over UNLV
No. 18 Iowa 30, No. 5 Michigan State 20
No. 14 Nebraska 44, No. 7 Missouri 30 (Play the over of 55)

No. 8 Utah over Air Force
No. 10 Ohio State over Minnesota
No. 11 Oklahoma over Colorado
No. 13 Stanford over Washington
No. 15 Arizona over UCLA

No. 17 South Carolina over Tennessee
No. 19 Arkansas over Vanderbilt
No. 20 Oklahoma State over Kansas State
No. 22 Miami over Virginia
No. 23 Mississippi State over Kentucky
Texas over No. 25 Baylor

Georgia over Florida (Who would have thought neither would be ranked at this point?)
Central Florida over East Carolina
Texas A&M over Texas

WEEK 8 HANDICAPPING (4-0)
I suggested lay the points in Ohio State 49, Purdue 0 (closed at 24)
 & overs in
Michigan State 35, Northwestern 27 (closed at 51.5)
Stanford 38, Washington State 28 (closed at 64.5)
Nebraska 51, Oklahoma State 41 (closed at 58.5)

I only like one play for the upcoming week (the over in Nebraska-MIzzou). If anything else hits me before Saturday, I'll post below.

Interesting facts: The Longhorns were laying 21, making the Cyclones a nice +975. The Mountaineers were favored by 14 against the Orange.

Posted on: October 26, 2010 2:45 pm
 

Week 9 picks by JR -- the Real Expert

Boy, did last Saturday's Northwestern-Michigan State game irk me. I really thought the 'Cats would win and upset the No. 8 Spartans. NU fumbled at the 1 in the first quarter and blew a 17-0 lead. MSU took its first lead on a TD with 2:00 left.

But how about another top team (Oklahoma) going down. None of the so-called experts picked Mizzou … nor did they/we pick the Badgers to win in Iowa City.

For Week 8, I went 17-5, losing on OU, NU, Iowa, West Virginia (to Syracuse) and Texas (to Iowa State -- how did this possibly happen?).

I'm 145-39 on the season, remaining one game back of Chip Patterson, who also went 17-5. I passed J. Darin Darst, who went 15-7, and Dennis Dodd, who crashed & burned at 12-10.

Overall standings: Chip 146-38; me 145-39, Darst 144-40, Dodd & Adam Jacobi 141-43 & Jay Horowitz 133-51 … And they kicked me out?!?!?!

On to Week 9
TUESDAY
No. 2 Boise State over Louisiana Tech

THURSDAY
No. 16 Florida State 33, North Carolina State 27

SATURDAY
No. 24 USC 48, No. 1 Oregon 44
No. 3 Auburn over Mississippi
No. 4 TCU over UNLV
No. 18 Iowa 30, No. 5 Michigan State 20
No. 14 Nebraska 44, No. 7 Missouri 30 (Play the over of 55)

No. 8 Utah over Air Force
No. 10 Ohio State over Minnesota
No. 11 Oklahoma over Colorado
No. 13 Stanford over Washington
No. 15 Arizona over UCLA

No. 17 South Carolina over Tennessee
No. 19 Arkansas over Vanderbilt
No. 20 Oklahoma State over Kansas State
No. 22 Miami over Virginia
No. 23 Mississippi State over Kentucky
Texas over No. 25 Baylor

Georgia over Florida (Who would have thought neither would be ranked at this point?)
Central Florida over East Carolina
Texas A&M over Texas

WEEK 8 HANDICAPPING (4-0)
I suggested lay the points in Ohio State 49, Purdue 0 (closed at 24)
 & overs in
Michigan State 35, Northwestern 27 (closed at 51.5)
Stanford 38, Washington State 28 (closed at 64.5)
Nebraska 51, Oklahoma State 41 (closed at 58.5)

I only like one play for the upcoming week (the over in Nebraska-MIzzou). If anything else hits me before Saturday, I'll post below.

Interesting facts: The Longhorns were laying 21, making the Cyclones a nice +975. The Mountaineers were favored by 14 against the Orange.

Posted on: October 21, 2010 3:02 am
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